Aperçu du marché

Dollar firms as risk sentiment softens and gold slips before RBNZ decision 

Équipe ADFX

Market Recap 

XAUUSD 
XAUUSD printed both a 5-day high and a 5-day low in the 26 May session, spanning 97.6 points, or 2.14% of the open. It opened at 4571.0 and lifted to the high at 4580.3 by 02:18, setting a 5-day peak, before declining through the rest of the session to a 21:05 low at 4482.7, also a 5-day mark. A late bounce left it closing at 4507.1, down 63.9 points (-1.40%) on the day. From the intraday peak, it settled 73.2 points lower, while finishing 24.4 points above the session low. The high occurred within the first two hours, the low in the final hours, and the close sat in the lower quarter of the day’s range, with price dipping below 4500 intraday and ending just above it; 4600 was not tested. The intraday structure showed an early top followed by successive lower lows into the evening, without a retest of the morning high. On higher timeframes, XAUUSD finished below the H1 20-period SMA at 4519.5, the daily Bollinger midline at 4598.2, and the D1 50-day SMA at 4638.0. Momentum readings registered H4 RSI14 at 50.06 and D1 RSI14 at 34.27. By the close, price remained beneath these reference averages and the daily center band while holding above the late-session trough, consolidating just over the 4500 handle after a session that recorded new 5-day extremes at both ends. 

EURUSD 
EURUSD finished the session at 1.1624, down 0.00162 (-0.139%) from the 1.16402 open, after trading between 1.16446 at 13:30 and 1.16157 at 18:37. The day’s range measured 0.00289, or 0.25% of the open, with the close positioned in the lower third of that span, about 8 pips above the low and 21 pips beneath the high. Price action was clustered near the opening level for much of the first half, setting the session high early afternoon before sliding to the late-day trough and stabilizing into the close. The high stopped short of 1.1650 and remained below the 5-day high at 1.16521, while the 10-day high at 1.17209 stayed further overhead. On the downside, the 1.16 big figure was not reached, and no 100-handle cross was recorded, with the intraday floor at 1.16157 defining support within the 1.16 region. In higher-timeframe context, spot remained above the daily lower Bollinger Band at 1.15641 by the close, keeping price confined within the lower half of the recent multi-day distribution bounded by last week’s highs around 1.1652 and the Bollinger marker. The session structure leaves the close nearer the low than the high, reflecting a net decline within a contained range. No tests of recent multi-day extremes were registered intraday, and the session concluded without breaching the prior 5-day reference on the topside or pressing into the Bollinger boundary on the downside. 

DJ30 
DJ30 finished lower on Tuesday, settling at 50,490.15, a decline of 601.85 points or 1.178% from the 01:00 open at 51,092.00. The session high was registered immediately at 01:00 at 51,111.00, marginally above the 51,100 handle, after which price traversed a 712.55-point range, equal to 1.39% of the open, into a late-session low of 50,398.45 at 22:12. The close was positioned 12.9% up from the day’s low, leaving it near the lower end of the range. Price slipped back under 51,000 early and later hovered below 50,500, ending just beneath that round level, while the intraday low held above 50,000. The structure was one-way from an opening high that was not revisited, with lower intraday highs and fresh lows emerging into the evening. From a higher-timeframe perspective, the close remains above the D1 EMA21 at 49,867.2 and the D1 SMA50 at 48,529.3, with all intraday prints also above the EMA21. The day’s action stayed above the recent five-day low at 49,741.48, preserving the broader support band between the EMA21 and that multi-session floor. Notable levels during the session included the early probe above the 51,100 handle, the subsequent slide through 51,000, and a finish around 50,500, with sellers controlling the close in the lower tail of the day’s range. 

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview 

Japanese inflation gauges surprised higher while U.S. consumer sentiment softened: the BoJ trimmed mean core CPI rose 2.8 percent year over year (prior 2.5, forecast 2.1), while the BoJ weighted median core CPI slowed to 1.4 percent (prior 1.7, in line with the 1.4 forecast), signaling mixed breadth in underlying price pressures; in the U.S., the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index edged up to 93.1 from 92.8 but fell short of the 99.7 forecast. Ahead, focus turns to New Zealand, where the RBNZ announces its interest rate decision at 05:00 server time, with the policy rate previously at 2.25 percent; the press conference follows at 20:00. Markets will parse the statement and the Q&A for guidance on the balance between inflation progress and growth considerations, particularly after recent global disinflation fits and starts. Changes in the policy rate feed through to borrowing costs and aggregate demand, shaping the inflation outlook. No formal forecast is available in this schedule, but the prior level provides context for any adjustment. A brief sequence shift—decision pre-market local time, press conference later—keeps headline risk extended across the session; NZD and local rates may see heightened volatility around the announcement and subsequent remarks. 

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